Loading...
Market
Outcome of Canada's firearm donation to Ukraine by end of 2025
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful transfer • 25%
Partial transfer • 25%
No transfer • 25%
Transfer blocked by legal action • 25%
Official government announcements or media reports
Story
Canada Bans 324 Firearms Immediately, Proposes Donation to Ukraine's Fight for Democracy
Dec 6, 2024, 12:51 AM
The Canadian government has announced an immediate ban on 324 additional types of firearms, expanding its list of prohibited weapons. Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc stated that these firearms, deemed unsuitable for hunters or sport shooters, are more appropriate for the battlefield. In a surprising twist, the government has proposed to donate these confiscated firearms to Ukraine to aid in their conflict with Russia. This move follows a previous ban in May 2020 of 1,500 makes and models of firearms, which grew to over 2,000 by November 2024. Defence Minister Bill Blair mentioned that the Department of National Defence will work with Canadian companies to facilitate the transfer of these weapons to Ukraine, supporting their fight for democracy.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful transfer • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
Transfer delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Highly Successful • 25%
Moderately Successful • 25%
Not Successful • 25%
Unclear Outcome • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Moderate territorial gains • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
Armored vehicles • 25%
Air defense systems • 25%
Infantry weapons • 25%
Other • 25%
Leopard 2A4 tanks • 25%
Armored combat support vehicles • 25%
Armored patrol vehicles • 25%
M-777 howitzers • 25%
Small arms and ammunition • 25%
Protective gear • 25%
Training of Ukrainian troops • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than CAD 100 million • 25%
CAD 100 million to CAD 300 million • 25%
CAD 300 million to CAD 500 million • 25%
More than CAD 500 million • 25%