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Outcome of Blinken's Cairo Visit on Gaza Conflict?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Humanitarian Pause • 25%
Postponement of Military Operations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Official statements from US State Department, Israeli government, and Hamas; verified by major news outlets like Reuters, BBC, and Al Jazeera
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US Secretary of State Blinken Arrives in Cairo, Egypt on Monday to Push Ceasefire in Gaza
Jun 10, 2024, 06:51 AM
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is set to arrive in Cairo, Egypt, on Monday at a critical time as Washington seeks to increase pressure on Hamas and Israel to reach a ceasefire in Gaza and ensure the war does not expand onto Lebanon. The visit is part of a renewed push for a ceasefire deal publicly endorsed by President Joe Biden but so far brushed off by both Israel and Hamas. Blinken's visit comes amid a shift in Israel's cabinet, which could complicate ceasefire efforts. A senior Hamas official has urged the United States to pressure Israel to end the war.
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Status quo • 34%
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Ceasefire Agreement • 33%
Prisoner Exchange • 33%
No Significant Developments • 33%
Hamas accepts ceasefire and releases hostages • 33%
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Hamas rejects ceasefire • 33%
Tighter security measures • 25%
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Full implementation • 33%
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