Loading...
Market
Number of Paul Mackenzie's co-accused convicted in Shakahola massacre by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-20 • 25%
21-50 • 25%
51-80 • 25%
81-93 • 25%
Court records and official announcements
Story
Kenyan Doomsday Cult Leader Faces Terrorism Charges in Shakahola Massacre
Jul 8, 2024, 01:41 PM
Paul Mackenzie, the leader of a Kenyan doomsday cult, went on trial on Monday facing charges of terrorism. He and 93 others are accused of terror-related offences, including mass starvation deaths, murder, manslaughter, kidnapping, and torturing children. The case, known as the Shakahola massacre, involves the deaths of more than 400 of his followers and has shocked both Kenya and the world.
View original story
Similar markets
Guilty of manslaughter • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
None • 25%
One • 25%
Two • 25%
Three or more • 25%
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Life imprisonment • 25%
20-30 years imprisonment • 25%
10-20 years imprisonment • 25%
Less than 10 years imprisonment • 25%
1 • 25%
2-3 • 25%
4-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
All three convicted • 25%
Some convicted, some acquitted • 25%
All three acquitted • 25%
Case still ongoing • 25%
At least one conviction • 25%
No convictions • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Trial extended into 2025 • 25%