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Market
Number of Additional EU Countries Recognizing Palestine by 2024
5
Ireland•Norway•Spain•Palestine•Irish•Simon Harris•Spanish•Pedro Sanchez•Jonas Gahr Stoere•United Nations Security Council•Slovenia•Belgium•France•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-2 countries • 34%
3-5 countries • 33%
More than 5 countries • 33%
Official EU statements and news reports
Story
Ireland, Norway, and Spain Recognize Palestinian State on 1967 Borders, Effective May 28
May 22, 2024, 06:35 AM
Ireland, Norway, and Spain have announced their formal recognition of Palestine as an independent state, based on the 1967 borders. The coordinated announcements were made on Wednesday, with Norway's recognition set to take effect on May 28. The decision follows discussions between Irish Prime Minister Simon Harris and Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez. Norway's Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere emphasized that the recognition aligns with international law and relevant United Nations Security Council resolutions. Slovenia is also considering recognition, and Belgium and France are in play. In response, Israel has recalled its ambassadors from Ireland and Norway for consultations.
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0-5 countries • 25%
6-10 countries • 25%
11-15 countries • 25%
More than 15 countries • 25%
0-2 more countries • 25%
3-5 more countries • 25%
6-10 more countries • 25%
More than 10 countries • 25%
None • 20%
1-5 countries • 20%
6-10 countries • 20%
11-15 countries • 20%
More than 15 • 20%
1-3 countries • 33%
4-6 countries • 33%
More than 6 countries • 34%
0-5 countries • 25%
6-10 countries • 25%
11-15 countries • 25%
More than 15 countries • 25%
None • 25%
1-2 countries • 25%
3-4 countries • 25%
5 or more countries • 25%
Recognition by 1-3 countries • 25%
Recognition by 4-7 countries • 25%
Recognition by more than 7 countries • 25%
No new recognition • 25%