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Market
Next Strategic Move by ISIS in Response to US Airstrikes?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory attack in Syria • 25%
Retaliatory attack outside Syria • 25%
Increased recruitment efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Reports from intelligence agencies, reputable news outlets, or official ISIS communications
Story
US Airstrikes in Deir ez-Zor Kill ISIS Leader Abu Yusif; No Civilian Casualties
Dec 20, 2024, 03:12 PM
The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that it conducted precision airstrikes in Syria, killing ISIS leader Abu Yusif, also known as Mahmud, along with another ISIS operative and a total of 12 militants. The airstrikes took place on December 19th in the Dayr az Zawr (Deir ez-Zor) province, an area formerly controlled by Assad's forces and Russia. According to CENTCOM, there were no civilian casualties.
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Similar markets
Increased recruitment efforts • 25%
Retaliatory attacks • 25%
Relocation of operatives • 25%
No significant response • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Hurras al-Din • 25%
Other • 25%
No airstrike • 25%
Military base • 25%
Civilian area • 25%
Government building • 25%
Other • 25%
Suicide bombing • 25%
Armed assault • 25%
IED (Improvised Explosive Device) • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Ground assault • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant weakening of ISIS • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increase in ISIS activity • 25%
ISIS relocates operations • 25%
Direct military retaliation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia • 25%
Turkey • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
