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Next significant regulatory decision affecting SpaceX in California by June 2025
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California Coastal Commission•SpaceX•Vandenberg Space Force Base•Elon Musk•FEMA•Starlink•Gretchen Newsom•Musk•California
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approval of a new launch site • 25%
Further restrictions on launches • 25%
No significant regulatory changes • 25%
Other regulatory actions • 25%
California Coastal Commission or other relevant regulatory bodies
Story
California Commission Votes 6-to-4 to Reject SpaceX's Plan for More Launches from Vandenberg
Oct 12, 2024, 09:08 AM
The California Coastal Commission has voted 6-to-4 against approving an increase in SpaceX rocket launches from Vandenberg Space Force Base. The decision, which is non-binding, was influenced by concerns over CEO Elon Musk's political involvement, his comments on social media, his attacks on FEMA, and the labor practices at his companies. The proposal aimed to increase the number of Falcon 9 launches from 36 to 50 per year and included plans for more Starlink satellite launches. Commissioner Gretchen Newsom criticized Musk's political rhetoric, describing it as 'disturbing.' This decision marks a significant regulatory challenge for SpaceX, which has been seeking to expand its launch capabilities in California.
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Similar markets
Approval of all proposed launches • 25%
Approval with reduced number of launches • 25%
No approval granted • 25%
Decision deferred to future date • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Launch approval time reduced • 25%
Launch approval time increased • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other significant regulatory change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Environmental Regulations • 25%
Safety Regulations • 25%
Financial Regulations • 25%
No Major Changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Revises launch decision • 25%
Maintains current stance • 25%
Launches new regulations • 25%
Seeks settlement • 25%
Tax Incentives • 25%
Environmental Regulations • 25%
Space Industry Policies • 25%
Other • 25%
