Loading...
Market
Next major black hole discovery by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
New intermediate-mass black hole • 25%
New supermassive black hole • 25%
New stellar-mass black hole • 25%
Other • 25%
Public announcements from recognized astronomical organizations or publications in peer-reviewed journals
Story
Astronomers Discover Closest Massive Black Hole in Omega Centauri, 8,200 Times the Sun's Mass
Jul 10, 2024, 04:42 PM
Astronomers have discovered the closest massive black hole to Earth, located in the Omega Centauri star cluster within the Milky Way. This black hole, identified as an intermediate-mass black hole, is estimated to be 8,200 times the mass of the Sun. The discovery was made using over 500 Hubble Space Telescope images taken over two decades. The presence of seven fast-moving stars in the cluster's core, influenced by the black hole, provided compelling evidence for its existence. This finding, published in Nature, is considered a 'missing link' in the formation of massive black holes, bridging the gap between smaller black holes formed from collapsed stars and supermassive black holes at galaxy cores.
View original story
Similar markets
New type of black hole • 25%
Black hole merger event • 25%
Black hole and star interaction • 25%
Other • 25%
New theoretical explanation • 25%
Observation of similar black holes • 25%
Revised feeding rate • 25%
Other • 25%
Another black hole triple system • 25%
A new type of black hole • 25%
Black hole merger event • 25%
Other • 25%
New black hole discovery • 25%
Black hole merger • 25%
Black hole jet detection • 25%
Other significant discovery • 25%
Another dormant black hole • 25%
Evidence of black hole merger • 25%
New type of black hole • 25%
Other significant discovery • 25%
Another star is destroyed • 25%
Black hole increases in mass significantly • 25%
New celestial object discovered in debris • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, a major breakthrough occurs • 25%
No significant breakthroughs • 25%
Incremental advancements • 25%
Other • 25%
MIT • 25%
Caltech • 25%
Harvard • 25%
Other • 25%
