Loading...
Market
New Israeli elections as a result of coalition collapse by December 31, 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Held • 33%
Not Held • 33%
Postponed • 33%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news agencies
Story
Israeli Ministers Threaten to Leave Netanyahu Coalition Over Biden's Ceasefire and Hostage Deal
Jun 1, 2024, 07:35 PM
Israeli ultranationalist ministers Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir, the Finance Minister and National Security Minister respectively, have threatened to leave Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government if a U.S.-brokered ceasefire and hostage deal with Hamas is accepted. The proposed deal, presented by President Joe Biden, aims to end the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Both ministers have stated that they would dissolve the government if the agreement goes through, emphasizing their opposition to any truce that does not eliminate Hamas. The potential resignation of these key ministers could lead to the collapse of Netanyahu's government.
View original story
Similar markets
Resignation of a high-ranking official • 33%
No major resignations • 34%
Other significant political change • 33%
Prime Minister remains same • 33%
New Prime Minister from same party • 33%
New Prime Minister from different party • 33%
Benjamin Netanyahu • 25%
Benny Gantz • 25%
Yair Lapid • 25%
Naftali Bennett • 25%
Prime Minister changes • 25%
Defense Minister changes • 25%
National Security Advisor changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Government remains stable • 33%
Early elections called • 33%
Significant protests and political upheaval • 34%
New Israeli Prime Minister • 33%
New Lebanese Prime Minister • 33%
No leadership change • 34%