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VisitNetanyahu's coalition collapses by end of 2024?
Yes • 50%
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Israel's Supreme Court Unanimously Orders Draft of Ultra-Orthodox Men, Threatening Netanyahu's Coalition
Jun 25, 2024, 09:08 AM
Israel's Supreme Court has ruled unanimously that the government must draft ultra-Orthodox Jewish men into the military, ending longstanding exemptions that have shielded them from compulsory service. This landmark decision could lead to the collapse of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government, which relies heavily on the support of ultra-Orthodox parties. The court's ruling also mandates the freezing of state funds for institutions that do not comply with the draft, starting April 1. The decision has sparked significant political repercussions, with some ultra-Orthodox leaders vehemently opposing the ruling and warning of severe societal divisions. There are about 60,000 eligible draftees from the haredi community.
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New coalition formed • 33%
Current coalition remains • 34%
Early elections called • 33%
Netanyahu remains as Prime Minister • 25%
Netanyahu steps down • 25%
Netanyahu is ousted • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Benjamin Netanyahu • 25%
Yariv Levin • 25%
Israel Katz • 25%
Other • 25%
64-66 seats • 25%
67-68 seats • 25%
69-70 seats • 25%
More than 70 seats • 25%
High compliance (80%+ institutions comply) • 33%
Moderate compliance (50%-80% institutions comply) • 33%
Low compliance (less than 50% institutions comply) • 33%
Collapses but new coalition formed • 25%
Remains intact • 25%
Collapses and new elections called • 25%
Other significant political reshuffling • 25%