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Nature of NATO's response to cyber-attack by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic sanctions • 33%
Cyber counter-attack • 33%
Military response • 33%
Official NATO statements, major news outlets
Story
NATO Clarifies Cyber-Attacks Could Trigger Article 5, Warns Russia
Jun 1, 2024, 06:19 PM
NATO has clarified that a cyber-attack on any of its member states could trigger Article 5 of the NATO Charter, which calls for collective self-defense. This decision was reiterated by Admiral Rob Bauer, Chair of the NATO Military Committee, during a speech at the Singapore defense summit. Bauer emphasized that for Article 5 to be invoked, it must be established that the cyber-attack was state-sponsored and not carried out by private individuals. This move aligns cyber-attacks with armed attacks, allowing NATO to respond similarly to physical attacks if the cyber-attack is devastating enough to disrupt societal functions. Last year, NATO warned Russia that any cyber-attack would trigger Article 5.
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Aerial strikes • 33%
Ground operations • 33%
Cyber warfare • 34%
Increased support for Ukraine • 33%
Unchanged stance • 33%
Reduced support for Ukraine • 34%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Cyber counter-attacks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
High-level diplomatic talks • 33%
Temporary suspension of diplomatic relations • 33%
Formal complaint through international bodies • 34%
Diplomatic efforts • 33%
Increased sanctions • 33%
Military retaliation • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase military support to Ukraine • 25%
Maintain current level of support • 25%
Reduce military support • 25%
Withdraw all support • 25%
NATO escalates military readiness • 50%
NATO does not escalate military readiness • 50%
Support from the majority • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominant opposition • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%