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Most Influential Group in Next California Minimum Wage Campaign by End of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Labor Unions • 25%
Business Associations • 25%
Political Action Committees • 25%
Grassroots Organizations • 25%
Media reports and campaign disclosures
Story
California Voters Reject $18 Minimum Wage Increase by 2026
Nov 20, 2024, 01:21 AM
California voters have decisively rejected Proposition 32, a ballot measure that would have raised the state's minimum wage to $18 per hour by 2026, setting a national high. The Associated Press called the contest, confirming the measure's defeat. Despite the close vote margin, with Prop. 32 trailing 50.8% to 49.2%, opponents declared a 'historic' rejection, stating there were not enough votes left to flip the result. The 'No on Prop 32' campaign had already claimed victory, while proponents of the measure were not ready to concede.
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Passes with more than 60% support • 25%
Passes with 50-60% support • 25%
Fails with 40-50% support • 25%
Fails with less than 40% support • 25%
Business groups • 25%
Labor unions • 25%
Federal government • 25%
State governments • 25%
Pro-Prop 36 groups • 25%
Anti-Prop 36 groups • 25%
Independent groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Independent groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Passes • 25%
Fails • 25%
Not on ballot • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Majority support from women • 25%
Majority support from men • 25%
Majority support from both women and men • 25%
Majority opposition from both women and men • 25%
AIDS Healthcare Foundation • 25%
Tenants Together • 25%
California Apartment Association • 25%
Other • 25%
Planned Parenthood • 25%
ACLU • 25%
Human Rights Campaign • 25%
Other • 25%
White Women • 25%
Black Women • 25%
Hispanic Women • 25%
Other • 25%
LGBTQ+ advocacy groups • 25%
Minority advocacy groups • 25%
Women's rights groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
New bill introduced • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Ballot initiative • 25%
No major initiative • 25%