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VisitMost influential faction in Speaker vote on Jan 3, 2025?
House Freedom Caucus • 25%
Moderate Republicans • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis of voting patterns and influence from political analysts and news reports.
Mike Johnson Faces Crucial Speaker Vote Today Despite Trump's Endorsement
Jan 3, 2025, 11:55 AM
House Speaker Mike Johnson faces a crucial test at noon Friday as the 119th Congress convenes to elect its leader amid reports that he may not have secured enough votes to retain his position. Despite endorsements from President-elect Donald Trump—who called him 'a fine man of great ability'—and Elon Musk, Johnson is grappling with a narrow Republican majority, the slimmest in nearly a century, and internal party dissent. Reports from Politico and others suggest that approximately a dozen Republican lawmakers remain undecided or are considering opposing his re-election as Speaker. Notably, Rep. Thomas Massie plans to vote against Johnson, and Rep. Bob Good is also a potential holdout. Johnson has been meeting with undecided colleagues, including members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus, in an effort to shore up support ahead of the vote. Johnson expressed confidence, stating, 'I think tomorrow’s gonna go well.' The possibility of multiple ballots or a contentious floor fight looms, reminiscent of previous intra-party clashes. The outcome of the Speaker vote will be a significant indicator of Republican unity as they prepare to tackle President-elect Trump's legislative agenda.
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Libertarian Republicans • 25%
Moderate Republicans • 25%
Other • 25%
Trump Supporters • 25%
Republican • 33%
Other/Coalition • 34%
Democrat • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Majority GOP support • 25%
Majority Democratic support • 25%
Bipartisan support • 25%
Hakeem Jeffries • 25%
Other • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Gerry Connolly • 25%
Other • 25%
Hakeem Jeffries • 25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez • 25%
Other • 25%
Tom Emmer • 25%
Steve Scalise • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Challenger 2 • 25%
Challenger 1 • 25%
No Speaker Elected • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Another candidate wins • 25%
Mike Johnson wins • 25%
Byron Donalds wins • 25%
No winner on first ballot • 25%
Mike Johnson elected after multiple ballots • 25%
No Speaker elected on January 3, 2025 • 25%
Another candidate elected • 25%
Mike Johnson elected on first ballot • 25%
Byron Donalds • 25%
Other • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Other • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Ralph Norman • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Thomas Massie • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
Bob Good • 25%