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Most Cited Legal Argument in Ruling on Trump's Motion by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Political Motivation • 25%
Selective Prosecution • 25%
Hunter Biden Pardon Precedent • 25%
Other Legal Argument • 25%
The outcome can be determined based on the official ruling documents from the New York State Supreme Court.
Story
President-elect Trump Seeks to Dismiss 34-Count Conviction, Citing Election Win and Hunter Biden Pardon
Dec 3, 2024, 10:35 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has filed a motion in New York State Supreme Court to dismiss his conviction on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to hush money payments made to adult film actress Stormy Daniels. Convicted in May, Trump's legal team now argues that his election victory demonstrates that the prosecution was politically motivated and threatens the functioning of the U.S. government. The motion urges Judge Juan Merchan to vacate the jury's guilty verdict, citing selective and unfair prosecution, and references President Joe Biden's recent pardon of his son, Hunter Biden, asserting that similar considerations should apply to Trump. The lawyers also cite Justice Clarence Thomas in their arguments and accuse District Attorney Alvin Bragg of interfering with the presidential transition.
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Similar markets
Focus on presidential immunity • 25%
Challenge evidence validity • 25%
Procedural errors • 25%
Other legal arguments • 25%
Bias of Judge Merchan • 25%
Procedural errors • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Alan Dershowitz • 25%
Laurence Tribe • 25%
Neal Katyal • 25%
Kimberly Wehle • 25%
Judge Merchan • 25%
Higher Court • 25%
Case Withdrawn • 25%
Other Entity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Presidential Immunity • 25%
Constitutional Grounds • 25%
Procedural Issues • 25%
Other Reasons • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Acts not protected by presidential immunity • 25%
Evidence of falsifying business records • 25%
Jury's unanimous verdict • 25%
Other • 25%
14th Amendment • 25%
Executive Overreach • 25%
Violation of International Law • 25%
Other • 25%
New federal charges • 25%
New state charges • 25%
No new charges • 25%
Other • 25%