Market
Will Xi Jinping attend Trump's inauguration in January 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official attendance list released by the U.S. government or media reports on the inauguration day
Story
Trump Invites China's Xi to Inauguration; Experts Doubt He Will Attend
Dec 13, 2024, 02:33 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has extended unprecedented invitations to Chinese President Xi Jinping and other world leaders to attend his inauguration next month, an unorthodox move that includes both U.S. allies and adversaries in a traditional American ceremony. Experts doubt that Xi will accept the invitation due to past relations between the two countries, and reports suggest that he is expected to be absent, possibly sending senior officials or the Chinese Ambassador to the United States in his place. In a congratulatory letter to the 2024 gala dinner of the U.S.-China Business Council, delivered on Wednesday, Xi emphasized that China and the United States should choose dialogue over confrontation and pursue win-win cooperation over zero-sum games.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Unofficial visit • 25%
Official state visit • 25%
Other • 25%
Bilateral talks • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No response by inauguration • 25%
Other • 25%
No response • 25%
Accepts but does not attend • 25%
Declines • 25%
Accepts • 25%
Declines the invitation • 25%
Accepts and attends • 25%
Send a high-level delegation • 25%
No response • 25%
Attend personally • 25%
Decline the invitation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Chinese Ambassador • 25%
Senior Chinese Official • 25%
Xi Jinping • 25%
No Chinese Representative • 25%