Market
Will Trump publicly accept the Supreme Court ruling on presidential immunity by February 29, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Trump's official statements or social media posts
Story
Trump Slams Judge Merchan for Upholding 34 Felony Convictions Despite Supreme Court Immunity Ruling
Dec 17, 2024, 04:04 PM
Former President Donald Trump has issued a statement criticizing Judge Juan Merchan for refusing to dismiss his 34 felony convictions related to a 'hush money' case, following a Supreme Court ruling on presidential immunity. In his statement, Trump described Judge Merchan as 'deeply conflicted, corrupt, biased, and incompetent,' and labeled the case against him as a 'Rigged Hoax.' Trump also criticized Merchan for maintaining an 'illegal gag order' that prevents him from speaking about certain aspects of the case, suggesting it disrespects the Supreme Court's decision.
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Other outcome • 25%
Immunity rejected, sentencing proceeds • 25%
Immunity upheld, no sentencing • 25%
Immunity partially upheld • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No decision before Jan 10 • 34%
Petition granted • 33%
Petition denied • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
