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Will there be a recount or legal challenge in any state won by Trump by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
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No • 50%
Official announcements from state election boards or legal filings
Story
Trump Wins 2024 Election with 77.3 Million Votes, 1.4% Margin, 312 Electoral Votes
Dec 10, 2024, 07:30 PM
In the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, Donald Trump secured a narrow victory over Kamala Harris, with a margin of 1.4%, receiving approximately 77.3 million votes compared to Harris's 75 million. The election results highlighted Trump's success in key battleground states, contributing to his overall electoral strategy. Polling accuracy varied across states, with Trump outperforming expectations in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada. In Pennsylvania, Trump was projected to lead by 0.4% in polls but won by 1.7%. In Michigan, polls indicated a slight Harris lead of 0.5%, yet Trump achieved a 1.4% victory. In Wisconsin, he was projected to lead by 0.4% and won by 0.9%. In Nevada, Trump was expected to lead by 0.6% in polls and ultimately won by 3.1%. Senator Bernie Moreno remarked on Trump's substantial mandate, noting his 312 electoral votes and victories in seven swing states, emphasizing the GOP's responsibility to support their nominees.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Florida • 25%
Other • 25%
Texas • 25%
Pennsylvania • 25%
Some challenges ongoing • 25%
New challenges emerged • 25%
All challenges ongoing • 25%
All challenges resolved • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
Results upheld • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Results overturned • 25%
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