Market
Will the US government receive a share of TikTok's acquisition value by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes, 50% or more • 25%
Yes, less than 50% • 25%
No share received • 25%
Deal not completed • 25%
Official government or acquisition deal announcements
Story
Trump Open to Musk or Ellison Buying TikTok, Calls App 'Worthless' Without U.S. Permit, Wants Half Value
Jan 21, 2025, 10:53 PM
President Donald Trump has expressed openness to Elon Musk purchasing TikTok, stating that he would support such a move if Musk were interested. Trump mentioned that he has met with TikTok's owners and suggested that if a deal were made, the United States should receive half of the value, which he estimated could be up to $500 billion out of a total valuation of $1 trillion. He stated that TikTok is "worthless if it doesn't get a permit" from the US, but "with a permit it's worth like a trillion dollars." Additionally, Trump suggested that other individuals, such as Larry Ellison, could also consider purchasing the social media app.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Direct purchase • 25%
Through regulatory measures • 25%
Through a joint venture • 25%
No acquisition • 25%
