Market
Will the U.S. federal budget deficit decrease in 2025 compared to 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from the U.S. Department of the Treasury or Congressional Budget Office
Story
Donald Trump Taps Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary Amid China Tariffs and Strategic Policy Debates
Dec 1, 2024, 02:07 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced the nomination of Scott Bessent as the next U.S. Treasury Secretary. Bessent, a prominent fund manager, is recognized for his expertise in financial markets. His nomination has sparked discussions about potential shifts in U.S. economic policy. Bessent is expected to focus on reining in the budget deficit, reducing federal debt, and implementing tax cuts aimed at benefiting lower-income workers. Additionally, he has expressed support for maintaining the dollar's primacy and employing strategic tariffs. Analysts are debating whether his approach represents a continuation of interventionist policies or a new direction for U.S. economic dominance. There is speculation that Bessent's appointment could signal potential relief for China over tariffs, despite President-elect Trump's recent levy threat.
View original story
Similar markets
More than $2 trillion • 25%
$1 trillion to $1.5 trillion • 25%
$1.5 trillion to $2 trillion • 25%
Less than $1 trillion • 25%
5% to 7% • 25%
More than 9% • 25%
Less than 5% • 25%
7% to 9% • 25%
More than 7.5% • 25%
6.5% to 7.5% • 25%
5% to 6.4% • 25%
Less than 5% • 25%
More than $3 trillion • 25%
Less than $2 trillion • 25%
$2 trillion to $2.5 trillion • 25%
$2.5 trillion to $3 trillion • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by up to 5% • 25%
Decrease by up to 5% • 25%
$1.5 trillion to $2 trillion • 25%
Less than $1 trillion • 25%
$1 trillion to $1.5 trillion • 25%
More than $2 trillion • 25%