Market
Will the Senate confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director by March 31, 2025?
5
John Bolton•National Security•Donald Trump•Kash Patel•FBI•NBC News•CBS•Bolton•Patel•Lavrenty Beria•Joseph Stalin•NKVD•Senate
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. Senate voting records or announcements
Story
Bolton Urges Senate to Reject Trump's FBI Director Nominee Kash Patel, Citing Beria Comparison
Dec 1, 2024, 01:49 PM
John Bolton, former National Security Advisor, has publicly criticized President-elect Donald Trump's nomination of Kash Patel as the new FBI Director. In interviews with NBC News and CBS, Bolton compared Patel to Lavrenty Beria, a notorious chief of Joseph Stalin's secret police, the NKVD. Bolton urged the Senate to reject Patel's nomination unanimously, arguing that the FBI should not resemble the Soviet-era secret police. This comparison and call for rejection have sparked a debate on the suitability of Patel for the role, with some seeing Bolton's opposition as a sign of Patel's appropriateness for the position.
View original story
Similar markets
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with narrow support • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Rejected • 33%
No Vote • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
