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Will the ICC open a case against Israel based on Amnesty's Gaza genocide report by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or announcements from the International Criminal Court
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Amnesty International's 300-Page Report Accuses Israel of Gaza Genocide, Israel Rejects Claim
Dec 5, 2024, 12:08 AM
Amnesty International has released a comprehensive 300-page report accusing Israel of committing genocide against Palestinians in Gaza. The report, which has sparked significant controversy, claims that Israeli authorities are engaging in acts that constitute genocide under international law. This accusation has been met with strong rejection from Israel, with various sources and experts labeling the claim as 'fabricated' or a 'blood libel.' The report's release has prompted calls for international action against Israel, highlighting the ongoing conflict in Gaza.
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Full investigation launched • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation deferred • 25%
Insufficient evidence to proceed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant action • 25%
Formal investigation initiated • 25%
Formal condemnation by UN • 25%
ICC investigation • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel cleared of allegations • 25%
No action taken • 25%
