Market
Will the Dark Eagle hypersonic missile be deployed by US military by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the US Department of Defense or credible news sources
Story
US Navy Successfully Tests Dark Eagle Hypersonic Missile Exceeding 6,000 km/h with Range of 3,000 km
Dec 15, 2024, 03:35 PM
The United States has successfully tested its long-range hypersonic missile, the Dark Eagle, marking a significant advancement in military technology. The missile can reportedly exceed speeds of 6,000 kilometers per hour and has a range of up to 3,000 kilometers. This test is particularly notable as it comes after the U.S. withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty in 2018. The U.S. Department of Defense has characterized this test as a breakthrough in hypersonic weapon capabilities, aimed at countering advancements from Russia and China. The U.S. Navy conducted the test, which is part of a broader initiative to develop hypersonic weapons, although some experts suggest that the U.S. is still catching up to Russia's historical advancements in this area.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No major milestone • 25%
Integration into Navy vessels • 25%
New missile variant • 25%
Deployment to U.S. Army • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Deployment on Zumwalt-class destroyers • 25%
No significant milestone • 25%
Third successful live-fire test • 25%
Fielding decision by the Army • 25%
Australia • 25%
Japan • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
No sale • 25%
U.S. Navy • 33%
U.S. Army • 33%
Neither by 2026 • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
