Market
Will the COVID-19 vaccine mandate for legal immigrants be reinstated by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
USCIS announcements or federal policy updates
Story
Trump Rescinds COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate for Legal Immigrants Seeking Permanent Residency Effective January 22, 2025
Jan 22, 2025, 09:16 PM
President Donald Trump has rescinded the COVID-19 vaccine mandate for legal immigrants seeking permanent residency in the United States. The decision, effective January 22, 2025, was announced by the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), which stated that it will no longer require applicants to provide documentation of having received the COVID-19 vaccine on their Form I-693, Report of Immigration Medical Examination and Vaccination Record. Furthermore, USCIS will not issue any Requests for Evidence (RFE) or Notices of Intent to Deny (NOID) related to the vaccine, nor will it deny any adjustment of status applications based on the absence of such documentation. This move reverses a policy implemented during the Biden administration, which had required the vaccine for legal immigrants but not for those entering the country illegally.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Neutral response • 25%
Supportive response • 25%
Critical response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Economic considerations • 25%
Evolving pandemic conditions • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
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Temporary Protected Status (TPS) • 25%
CBP One app entry process • 25%
Humanitarian parole programs • 25%
