Market
Will the aviation industry announce a major initiative to address fuel demand increase by 2026?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official press releases or announcements from major aviation industry organizations or companies
Story
Study by Transport and Environment Projects Air Travel Will Double by 2050, Causing 59% Increase in Fuel Demand
Jan 12, 2025, 11:50 PM
A recent study by climate advocacy group Transport and Environment indicates that the number of air passengers is projected to more than double by 2050, leading to a 59% increase in fuel demand compared to 2019 levels. This growth in air travel is expected to conflict with the aviation industry's climate goals, particularly its commitments to achieve net-zero emissions. The findings suggest that despite the industry's reliance on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and other decarbonization efforts, the anticipated rise in air travel could undermine these initiatives. The study highlights the challenges faced by the aviation sector as it navigates the balance between growth and environmental responsibility.
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