Market
Will South Korean court approve arrest warrant for President Yoon by January 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court announcements or major news outlets reporting the decision
Story
South Korean Investigators Seek Arrest Warrant for Impeached President Yoon on Insurrection Charges
Dec 30, 2024, 01:48 AM
South Korean investigators have requested a court warrant to detain impeached President Yoon Suk-yeol on insurrection charges related to his short-lived declaration of martial law on December 3. The joint investigation unit filed the arrest warrant with the Seoul Western District Court after Yoon repeatedly declined to appear for questioning. This unprecedented move marks the first time in South Korea's history that authorities have sought to detain a sitting president on insurrection charges.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Warrant Denied • 33%
Warrant Granted • 33%
Decision Delayed • 34%
Arrest executed with PSS interference • 25%
Arrest executed without incident • 25%
Arrest warrant invalidated • 25%
Arrest not executed by deadline • 25%
General public indifference • 25%
Mixed reactions with no major protests • 25%
Major protests against Yoon • 25%
Major protests in support of Yoon • 25%