Market
Will Russian state media release another propaganda video involving Western figures by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publicly available Russian state media channels or official social media accounts
Story
Russian Propaganda Video Shows Air Defense Destroying Santa Claus With NATO Missiles Over Moscow Amid Plane Crash Allegations
Dec 27, 2024, 12:38 PM
Russian pro-war Telegram channels have circulated a propaganda video depicting the country's air defense systems shooting down Santa Claus as he flies over Moscow. In the video, Santa, portrayed as a 'Western' figure sipping Coca-Cola and carrying missiles with the NATO logo instead of gifts, is destroyed by a missile, which turns his sleigh into a fireworks display. The scene then shifts to a control room where Ded Moroz, the Russian equivalent of Santa Claus, and a military operator monitor the action. Ded Moroz declares, 'Target destroyed. We don’t need anything foreign in our world. Happy New Year!' The release of this video follows allegations that Russian air defense forces were responsible for the crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines passenger plane in western Kazakhstan, which killed 38 people.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Focus on military strength • 25%
Other themes • 25%
Focus on Western cultural symbols • 25%
Focus on internal achievements • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
Minor impact on relations • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Formal protest lodged • 25%
Public condemnation without formal action • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
