Market
Will Rubio and Wang Yi hold a formal meeting by June 30, 2025?
4
Marco Rubio•Chinese•Wang Yi•China•Trump•Rubio•American•Taiwan•South China Sea•Taiwan Strait•Xi Jinping•Wang•Taiwanese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government press releases or credible news reports
Story
Rubio Stresses American Interests in First U.S.-China Dialogue, Discusses Taiwan Issue
Jan 24, 2025, 06:54 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio held his first phone call with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on January 24, marking the initial high-level dialogue between the U.S. and China since the second Trump administration took office. Rubio emphasized that the Trump administration would pursue a U.S.-China relationship focused on promoting American interests and prioritizing the American people. He expressed concerns over China's coercive actions against Taiwan and in the South China Sea, while affirming the U.S. commitment to its allies in the region. Rubio stated that the U.S. does not support Taiwan independence and hopes for a peaceful resolution of the Taiwan issue acceptable to both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Wang Yi, in response, stressed the importance of implementing the consensus reached by Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping, and urged Rubio to act responsibly and contribute constructively to the future of both nations and global peace. Wang reiterated China's stance that Taiwan is an integral part of its territory and warned against any moves towards Taiwanese independence.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant outcome • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Strengthened alliance with new agreements • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Disagreements on key issues • 25%
Postponement of further discussions • 25%
Meeting occurs • 25%
Meeting planned but not held • 25%
No meeting planned • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
