Market
Will protests against FPÖ occur in Vienna by February 28, 2025?
2
Austrian•Alexander Van der Bellen•Herbert Kickl•Freedom Party•FPÖ•Karl Nehammer•Austria•World War II•Kickl•ÖVP•Christian Stocker
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news sources or official statements from protest organizers
Story
Austria's Far-Right Leader Kickl Tasked with Forming Government, Invites Conservatives to Talks
Jan 7, 2025, 01:30 PM
Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen has tasked Herbert Kickl, leader of the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ), with forming a new government after coalition talks collapsed following Chancellor Karl Nehammer's resignation. The FPÖ, which won the September elections, could lead Austria's government for the first time since World War II. Kickl has invited the conservative People's Party (ÖVP) and its new leader Christian Stocker to coalition talks, emphasizing his intention to "govern Austria honestly"—the party's new slogan. The FPÖ's presidium has given the green light for negotiations, and Kickl has warned that failure to reach an agreement could result in snap elections. This development has raised concerns domestically and internationally, with opponents planning protests over the FPÖ's potential ascent to power.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Protests end • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Increase in protests • 25%
Decrease in protests • 25%
Protests stabilize • 25%
Protests cease • 25%
Protests diminish • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Coalition formed • 25%