Market
Will President Lula successfully recover from the embolization procedure by December 19, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official medical updates from Sírio-Libanês Hospital or statements from President Lula's medical team
Story
President Lula, 79, to Undergo Second Brain Procedure Thursday to Prevent Further Bleeding
Dec 11, 2024, 08:14 PM
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, 79, is recovering in the intensive care unit at the Sírio-Libanês Hospital in São Paulo after undergoing emergency surgery to drain an intracranial hemorrhage caused by a cranial hematoma. According to his medical team, led by Dr. Roberto Kalil Filho, Lula is lucid, oriented, sitting up, and conversing. He has been allowed to receive visits from family members. As part of his treatment, the president will undergo a second procedure on Thursday (December 12) to perform an embolization of the middle meningeal artery. This intervention aims to block the blood flow and prevent further bleeding in the brain. The procedure is considered simple and low-risk, not requiring a surgical center. Lula’s recovery is progressing as expected; he has been engaging in physiotherapy and walking, and he is expected to remain hospitalized until next week.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Requires additional medical procedures • 25%
Full recovery • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial recovery with continued medical oversight • 25%
Full recovery • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Partial recovery with ongoing treatment • 25%
Significant health decline • 25%
Partially recovered, resumed duties • 25%
Health complications arose • 25%
Fully recovered • 25%
Still in recovery, not resumed duties • 25%
Procedure postponed • 25%
Successful with no complications • 25%
Successful with minor complications • 25%
Unsuccessful with major complications • 25%
