Will new sanctions cause a double-digit decline in Russian oil export revenue within six months?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international financial institutions or official Russian economic data
Biden Considers Sanctions on Russian Energy Sector's Shadow Fleet and Oil Exporters for Ukraine Leverage
Dec 24, 2024, 02:58 PM
The Biden administration is contemplating imposing major new financial sanctions on Russia's energy sector in the final weeks of President Joe Biden's term, according to reports from The Washington Post. These potential sanctions are aimed at targeting Russia's 'shadow fleet' of oil tankers and Russian oil exporters not previously sanctioned. The move is seen as a strategic effort to provide the incoming Trump administration with increased leverage in negotiations with Russia concerning the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The sanctions could also include revoking licenses that allow banks to process transactions related to the Russian energy sector. However, the administration is cautious about the potential impact on global energy prices and the U.S. economy, as Biden aims to leave office with a stable economic environment. The proposed sanctions are intended to significantly reduce Russia's export revenue, with the goal of achieving a double-digit decline over six to twelve months, as suggested by Peter Harrell, a former senior director for international economics in the Biden administration.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Significant decrease in exports • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
No significant change in exports • 25%
Moderate decrease in exports • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Remain between $60-$70 • 25%
Increase above $70 • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease below $60 • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
Decrease (below $65 per barrel) • 25%
Increase moderately ($70-$80 per barrel) • 25%
Increase significantly (above $80 per barrel) • 25%
Remain stable ($65-$70 per barrel) • 25%
Moderate economic impact • 25%
Economic growth • 25%
Significant economic downturn • 25%
Minimal economic impact • 25%
Increase by 5-10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Significant reduction in Russian oil revenue • 25%
Increase in Russian oil revenue • 25%
No significant impact on Russian oil revenue • 25%
Moderate reduction in Russian oil revenue • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by over 10% • 25%
Increase by 5-10% • 25%
Seek alternative markets • 25%
Increase domestic sales • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Reduce production • 25%