Market
Will Moldova sign a new energy agreement with Ukraine by April 30, 2025?
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Maia Sandu•Transnistria•Russian•Russian Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•Sandu•Moldova•Russia•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Moldovan or Ukrainian governments
Story
Moldovan President Maia Sandu Prepares Military Operation Plan for Transnistria, Aiming to Eliminate Russian Peacekeeping Presence
Dec 23, 2024, 08:15 AM
Moldovan President Maia Sandu is reportedly preparing a military operation plan aimed at establishing control over Transnistria and eliminating the Russian peacekeeping presence in the region, according to statements from the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). The SVR has expressed concerns that there are no guarantees Sandu will refrain from escalating military actions, potentially igniting a conflict. This development comes amidst ongoing discussions regarding Moldova's energy supply issues, particularly following the expiration of an energy agreement between Russia and Ukraine. The situation has drawn attention from various sources, highlighting the tense geopolitical dynamics in the region.
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Successful agreements with Ukraine • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Successful agreements with Romania • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Alternative supply secured • 25%
Debt paid and supply continues • 25%
Debt unpaid and supply cut • 25%