Market
Will major pornographic sites resume access in Texas within 30 days of the Supreme Court decision?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from major pornographic websites like Pornhub
Story
Supreme Court to Hear Free Speech Coalition's Challenge to Texas Age Verification Law for Pornographic Websites
Jan 15, 2025, 03:50 AM
The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on a Texas law that requires age verification for accessing pornographic websites, marking a significant legal battle over free speech and child protection. The law, enacted in 2023, mandates that websites with more than one-third of content deemed 'sexual material harmful to minors' must verify the age of visitors using digital identification or government-issued ID. The Free Speech Coalition, representing the adult entertainment industry, challenges the law, arguing it infringes on adults' First Amendment rights by imposing burdensome verification processes. Texas defends the law as necessary to protect children from accessing harmful content online. The case has drawn attention from 18 other states with similar laws and has led to major pornography websites like Pornhub blocking access in Texas. The Supreme Court's decision could impact the future of online content regulation across the U.S.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Low public interest • 25%
Mixed reaction • 25%
Majority oppose the decision • 25%
Majority support the decision • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Uphold the law • 25%
Strike down the law • 25%
Remand to lower courts • 25%