Market
Will Italy secure a diplomatic agreement for Cecilia Sala's release by June 30, 2025?
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Cecilia Sala•Iran•Evin Prison•Sala•Iranian•Tehran•Italian•Paola Amadei•Antonio Tajani•Giorgia Meloni
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs or major international news agencies
Story
Italian Journalist Cecilia Sala Held in Solitary at Iran's Evin Prison; Italy Seeks Her Release
Dec 28, 2024, 03:05 AM
Italian journalist Cecilia Sala has been arrested in Iran and is being held in solitary confinement at Evin Prison, according to the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Sala was detained by Iranian police in Tehran on December 19 while in the country on a valid journalistic visa. Her arrest came shortly after she released a podcast about an Iranian female comedian who had been jailed. The Italian ambassador to Iran, Paola Amadei, has visited Sala in prison and confirmed that she is in good health. Italian authorities, including Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani and Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, are working to secure her release and are in contact with Iranian authorities to clarify the circumstances of her arrest. The government has urged media outlets to exercise caution in reporting on the case to avoid jeopardizing negotiations.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Cecilia Sala remains detained • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Prisoner exchange involving Mohammad Abedini • 25%
Cecilia Sala released • 25%
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Diplomatic protest • 25%
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Other diplomatic measures • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains in prison • 25%
Released • 25%
Transferred to house arrest • 25%
Director of AISE • 25%
Antonio Tajani • 25%
Giorgia Meloni • 25%
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Released without charges • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Remains detained • 25%
