Market
Will international aviation body issue recommendations post-Embraer crash by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official publication from an international aviation safety body
Story
Azerbaijan Airlines Reports External Interference Caused Embraer Plane Crash Near Aktau on Wednesday
Dec 27, 2024, 12:26 PM
Azerbaijan Airlines has reported that preliminary findings indicate the cause of its recent plane crash in Kazakhstan was due to 'external physical and technical interference.' The incident involved an Embraer aircraft that went down near Aktau on Wednesday. Multiple sources, including the airline itself, have confirmed this initial assessment, emphasizing that the investigation is ongoing. The airline's statement reflects a consensus among various news outlets covering the event, which noted the external factors contributing to the crash.
View original story
Similar markets
ANAC (Brazilian National Civil Aviation Agency) • 25%
International aviation bodies • 25%
Cenipa • 25%
Local government • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant action • 25%
New safety regulations • 25%
Other • 25%
Temporary grounding of similar helicopters • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
Sanctions considered but not implemented • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
All three countries • 25%
Azerbaijan • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Russia • 25%