Will iceberg A23a break apart before reaching South Georgia by February 28, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Satellite imagery and reports from the British Antarctic Survey
40-Meter-Tall, 1 Trillion Tonne Iceberg A23a Threatens Penguins and Seals on South Georgia
Jan 23, 2025, 07:30 PM
The world's largest iceberg, known as A23a, is drifting towards South Georgia, a remote British island in the South Atlantic Ocean. This colossal iceberg, which spans 3,500 square kilometers, is 40 meters tall and weighs nearly one trillion tonnes, poses a potential threat to the island's wildlife, particularly to the millions of penguins and seals that inhabit the area. A23a, which broke off from Antarctica's Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf in 1986, has been on the move since becoming dislodged from the sea floor in December 2024. Moving at a glacial pace of one meter every three to seven seconds, the iceberg is expected to approach South Georgia in the next two to four weeks. Its approach could block access to feeding grounds for the island's wildlife, potentially leading to increased mortality rates among young penguins and seals during their summer breeding cycle. While researchers are not overly concerned about major harm, they note that the event is part of a natural process that is occurring more frequently due to human-caused climate change.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Melted completely • 25%
Grounded or stationary • 25%
Still drifting north • 25%
Collided with South Georgia • 25%
Drifts further into Atlantic • 25%
Breaks into smaller pieces • 25%
Grounds on continental shelf • 25%
Melts completely • 25%
Increased shipping delays • 25%
Rerouting of shipping lanes • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant disruption • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Iceberg melts significantly • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Collision with South Georgia • 25%
Significant wildlife disruption • 25%
Increased penguin mortality • 25%
Increased seal mortality • 25%
Disruption to feeding grounds • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Seals • 25%
Neither significantly • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Penguins • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major impact • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Diverts away from South Georgia • 25%
Reaches South Georgia and causes significant wildlife impact • 25%
Reaches South Georgia with minimal wildlife impact • 25%
Breaks apart before reaching South Georgia • 25%