Market
Will ICE detentions significantly increase by June 30, 2025, following the Laken Riley Act?
3
Donald Trump•Laken Riley Act•White House•Trump•Act•Immigration and Customs Enforcement•ICE•Republican House•Laken Riley
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official ICE reports and statistics on detention numbers
Story
Trump to Sign Laken Riley Act, First Major Bill, Requiring ICE to Detain Illegals
Jan 27, 2025, 10:57 PM
President Donald Trump is set to sign the Laken Riley Act into law on Wednesday at the White House. This will be the first major bill signed into law by Trump during his term. The Act requires Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to detain illegal immigrants charged with various crimes, including theft-related offenses and violent crimes. The legislation has been supported by all Republican House members, and it honors the legacy of Laken Riley.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Moderate increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Slightly increased detainees • 25%
Significantly increased detainees • 25%
Decreased detainees • 25%
No significant increase • 25%
Increase by more than 20% • 25%
Increase by less than 10% • 25%
Increase by 10-20% • 25%
Less than 20,000 • 25%
More than 60,000 • 25%
40,001 to 60,000 • 25%
20,000 to 40,000 • 25%
Moderate increase in detentions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant increase in detentions • 25%
Decrease in detentions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
