Market
Will ICC jurisdiction be contested successfully by Israel by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
ICC rulings and legal announcements
Story
Israel Appeals ICC Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant Over War Crimes Accusations
Dec 15, 2024, 11:39 AM
Israel has officially filed an appeal with the International Criminal Court (ICC) against arrest warrants issued for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. The Israeli Deputy Attorney General confirmed that the appeal challenges what they describe as an unlawful decision by the ICC. This legal action comes in response to accusations of war crimes against both officials. The Israeli government is asserting its position in this unprecedented case, emphasizing its commitment to contesting the ICC's jurisdiction and decisions. The appeal was filed amid ongoing tensions surrounding the situation in Israel and the broader geopolitical landscape.
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Charges filed • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Convictions obtained • 25%
Appeal successful, warrants revoked • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Appeal partially successful, conditions modified • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Seeks international mediation • 25%
Continues rejection • 25%
Accepts jurisdiction • 25%
Negotiates terms • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
In favor of Israel • 25%
Against Israel • 25%
Ruling in favor of South Africa • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ruling in favor of Israel • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Increase legitimacy • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease legitimacy • 25%
Warrants withdrawn • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Warrants remain active • 25%
Warrants executed • 25%
