Market
Will Germany announce a shift in policy to increase military support for Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official policy statements from the German government or major news outlets
Story
Merz Visits Kyiv, Supports Taurus Missiles for Ukraine Amid Potential Policy Shift
Dec 9, 2024, 08:13 AM
Friedrich Merz, the leader of Germany's conservative CDU party and a candidate for Chancellor, made an unannounced visit to Kyiv on December 9, 2024. This visit, his second since the onset of the conflict, underscores his commitment to supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression. Merz's trip follows closely after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's visit to the Ukrainian capital. During his visit, Merz expressed his intention to assess Ukraine's defense needs and explore how Germany could further assist, including the potential supply of Taurus cruise missiles, which he supports, in contrast to Scholz's veto. Merz's visit signals a potential shift in German policy towards Ukraine, especially as his party, CDU/CSU, leads in polls ahead of the February vote.
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Shift to non-military aid • 25%
Decrease military aid • 25%
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