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Will Elon Musk's comments significantly impact the spending bill vote by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Analysis from political analysts or credible news outlets attributing the bill's outcome to Musk's influence
Story
Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy Denounce 'Criminal' Spending Bill with Alleged 40% Congressional Pay Raise
Dec 18, 2024, 06:21 PM
Elon Musk has come out strongly against the congressional bill intended to avert a looming government shutdown. Labeling the spending bill as 'outrageous' and 'criminal', Musk criticized the inclusion of what he claims is a 40% pay increase for Congress and asserted that any member of the House or Senate who votes for the bill 'deserves to be voted out in two years'. His comments add to the growing conservative opposition, including from presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, to House Speaker Mike Johnson's stopgap funding plan. Musk's influence may impact lawmakers' support for the bill, increasing the likelihood of a government shutdown.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No change • 25%
Elon Musk's influence confirmed • 25%
Elon Musk's influence denied • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Other factors involved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Unclear • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%