Market
Will Elon Musk announce a new public sector technology initiative by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Elon Musk or Tesla/SpaceX press releases
Story
Elon Musk's Net Worth Rises to $442 Billion, Increased $150 Billion This Year, Surpassing Jeff Bezos
Dec 10, 2024, 11:42 PM
Elon Musk's net worth has surged to $442 billion, making him the first individual to exceed the $400 billion mark. His wealth has increased by $150 billion in 2024 alone, following Donald Trump's recent election victory. Musk's net worth now surpasses that of Jeff Bezos, who is valued at $240 billion. In addition to his financial achievements, Musk is reportedly set to overhaul the government IT infrastructure, indicating a significant shift in his focus towards public sector technology improvements. Observers note that Musk believes a small number of computers could effectively address the inefficiencies in government computing systems.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Technology-related • 25%
Space-related • 25%
Other • 25%
Government-related • 25%
Electric vehicles • 25%
AI development • 25%
Other • 25%
Space exploration • 25%
Space exploration policy • 25%
Other • 25%
AI and technology policy • 25%
Renewable energy policy • 25%
Other industry • 25%
New AI venture • 25%
New Tesla product • 25%
New SpaceX project • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Collaborative Projects • 25%
Formal Advisory Role • 25%
Informal Advisor • 25%
No Involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Renewable Energy • 25%
AI Technology • 25%
Space Exploration • 25%