Market
Will Congress pass legislation limiting presidential power to fire inspectors general by end of 2025?
3
Donald Trump•Congress•Defense•State•Transportation•Veterans Affairs•Housing and Urban Development•Interior•Energy
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Congressional records or official legislative announcements
Story
Trump Fires 17 Inspectors General Without Notice, Potentially Violating Federal Law
Jan 25, 2025, 02:03 PM
President Donald Trump fired at least 17 inspectors general in a late-night purge, removing independent watchdogs from multiple federal agencies without providing the required 30 days' notice to Congress, potentially violating federal law. The dismissals include inspectors general from departments such as Defense, State, Transportation, Veterans Affairs, Housing and Urban Development, Interior, and Energy. The move paves the way for the president to install loyalists in positions responsible for identifying fraud, waste, and abuse in the government.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Legal action pursued • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reprimand issued • 25%
All replaced with loyalists • 25%
Some replaced with loyalists • 25%
None replaced with loyalists • 25%
No replacements made • 25%
