Market
Will China's birth rate increase in 2025 compared to 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
National Bureau of Statistics birth rate report for 2025
Story
China's Population Falls to 1.408 Billion in 2024, Declines by 1.39 Million for Third Year
Jan 17, 2025, 06:40 AM
China's population declined for the third consecutive year in 2024, dropping by 1.39 million to 1.408 billion, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. Despite a slight increase in the number of births to 9.54 million from 9.02 million in 2023, the birth rate rose to 6.77 per 1,000 people from 6.39 the previous year. However, with 10.93 million deaths still exceeding the number of births, the overall population continued to decrease. The decline underscores ongoing demographic challenges for China, which is grappling with an aging population and a shortage of working-age individuals. The government has implemented various measures to encourage childbirth, but the trend of population decline is expected to continue.
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Decrease • 33%
Increase • 33%
Stay the same • 34%
Same • 25%
Higher • 25%
Data Unavailable • 25%
Lower • 25%
6.5 to 6.7 births per 1,000 • 25%
Above 6.9 births per 1,000 • 25%
Below 6.5 births per 1,000 • 25%
6.7 to 6.9 births per 1,000 • 25%
Increase • 33%
Stay the same • 34%
Decrease • 33%