Market
Will CATL report significant business impact from U.S. military designation by July 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or financial reports from CATL
Story
U.S. Labels Tencent and CATL as Chinese Military Companies on January 10, 2025; Tencent Threatens Legal Action
Jan 11, 2025, 05:24 PM
The U.S. Department of Defense has designated Tencent, the world's largest gaming publisher, and CATL, a major battery supplier for Tesla, as Chinese military companies. This classification has raised concerns and prompted Tencent to assert that it is not affiliated with the Chinese military. The company has indicated a willingness to pursue legal action against the U.S. government to contest its inclusion on the blacklist. The implications of this designation are significant for both companies, as they navigate the complexities of U.S.-China relations and the impact on their business operations.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Designation removed • 25%
Designation upheld • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Reduce collaboration • 25%
Continue business as usual • 25%
Suspend partnerships • 25%
Terminate partnerships • 25%
Improvement in relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Increased trade tensions • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reduction in orders from multiple major clients • 25%
Reduction in orders from one major client • 25%
No impact • 25%
Termination of relationship with a major client • 25%