Market
Will California implement stricter emissions regulations for 2026 vehicles?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
California state government announcements or EPA reports
Story
Biden Approves California's Ban on New Gas Cars by 2035, Requiring 80% EVs and 20% Hybrids Amid Trump Challenge
Dec 18, 2024, 05:50 PM
The Biden administration has approved California's plan to ban the sale of new gasoline-powered cars by 2035, a move that requires at least 80% of new car sales in the state to be electric vehicles (EVs) and allows for up to 20% plug-in hybrids. This decision, made by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), enables California to implement stricter emissions regulations than federal standards. However, the incoming Trump administration has indicated plans to challenge this approval, potentially reversing the decision through legal means. The new regulations will begin to phase in for model year 2026 vehicles, with the full ban set to take effect by 2035. California's initiative has garnered support from environmental advocates but has faced criticism from opponents who view it as government overreach.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More than 20 states • 25%
10 to 15 states • 25%
16 to 20 states • 25%
Fewer than 10 states • 25%
No change in sales • 25%
Increase in sales • 25%
Decrease in sales • 25%
Significant market disruption • 25%
Upheld • 33%
Partially Overturned • 33%
Fully Overturned • 34%