HomeMarketsStories

    Market

    Will ByteDance launch a new app in the U.S. by September 2025?

    3
    TikTok•United States
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Official announcements from ByteDance or media coverage

    Story

    TikTok Officially Shuts Down in U.S. After Government Ban

    TikTok Officially Shuts Down in U.S. After Government Ban

    Jan 19, 2025, 03:39 AM

    On January 19, 2025, TikTok, the popular social media platform, officially shut down its operations in the United States following a government ban.

    View original story

    Similar markets

    Will ByteDance launch a new social media app in the U.S. by Dec 31, 2025?

    Will ByteDance launch a new social media app in the U.S. by Dec 31, 2025?

    Other development • 25%

    Existing app rebranded • 25%

    No new app is launched • 25%

    Yes, a new app is launched • 25%

    Will ByteDance announce a new U.S. partnership for TikTok by September 30, 2025?

    Will ByteDance announce a new U.S. partnership for TikTok by September 30, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will ByteDance-linked apps resume service in the U.S. by April 2025?

    Will ByteDance-linked apps resume service in the U.S. by April 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will ByteDance announce a sale of TikTok's U.S. operations by January 19, 2025?

    Will ByteDance announce a sale of TikTok's U.S. operations by January 19, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will TikTok launch a major new feature in the U.S. by June 2025?

    Will TikTok launch a major new feature in the U.S. by June 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    First ByteDance app restored in US by June 30, 2025?

    First ByteDance app restored in US by June 30, 2025?

    CapCut • 25%

    Marvel Snap • 25%

    None • 25%

    Lemon8 • 25%

    Will ByteDance announce an alternative solution for TikTok's US operations before January 19, 2025?

    Will ByteDance announce an alternative solution for TikTok's US operations before January 19, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will ByteDance face new U.S. restrictions on TikTok by mid-2025?

    Will ByteDance face new U.S. restrictions on TikTok by mid-2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will ByteDance sell TikTok to a U.S. company by April 6, 2025?

    Will ByteDance sell TikTok to a U.S. company by April 6, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will ByteDance announce the sale of TikTok by January 19, 2025?

    Will ByteDance announce the sale of TikTok by January 19, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will ByteDance sell TikTok to a U.S. company by June 30, 2025?

    Will ByteDance sell TikTok to a U.S. company by June 30, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will ByteDance sell TikTok's U.S. operations by January 19, 2025?

    Will ByteDance sell TikTok's U.S. operations by January 19, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Markets based on same story

    Loading...
    Looking for markets...

    Show all

    Will a major competitor to TikTok emerge in the U.S. by mid-2025?

    Will a major competitor to TikTok emerge in the U.S. by mid-2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will TikTok successfully appeal the U.S. government ban by end of 2025?

    Will TikTok successfully appeal the U.S. government ban by end of 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    How will major social media platforms respond to TikTok's U.S. shutdown by March 2025?

    How will major social media platforms respond to TikTok's U.S. shutdown by March 2025?

    Instagram releases new features • 25%

    Other responses • 25%

    YouTube launches short video incentives • 25%

    Snapchat increases user engagement • 25%

    How will TikTok influencers respond to the U.S. shutdown by June 2025?

    How will TikTok influencers respond to the U.S. shutdown by June 2025?

    Other outcomes • 25%

    Move to other platforms • 25%

    Create own independent content • 25%

    Leave social media • 25%