Market
Will Blue Origin secure a U.S. military satellite contract by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from U.S. Department of Defense or Blue Origin
Story
Blue Origin's Heavy-Lift New Glenn Rocket Reaches Orbit on First Attempt, Challenging SpaceX
Jan 20, 2025, 03:11 AM
Blue Origin, the aerospace company founded by Jeff Bezos, successfully launched its heavy-lift New Glenn rocket into orbit for the first time on its first attempt on Thursday at 1:03 a.m. CST from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The New Glenn rocket, which is taller than the Statue of Liberty, marks a key milestone after 24 years of development and years of delays. With plans for reusability and six launches this year, Blue Origin aims to become a credible competitor to Elon Musk's SpaceX in the competitive private space industry. The successful flight brings the reusable heavy-lift New Glenn closer to launching U.S. military and spy satellites, challenging SpaceX's dominance in this sector.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Blue Origin • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Neither • 25%
NASA Artemis mission • 25%
No major contract announced • 25%
Other commercial satellite launch • 25%
Amazon Project Kuiper • 25%
Military satellite launch • 25%
Mars mission • 25%
Commercial satellite launch • 25%
Moon mission • 25%
