Market
Will Blue Ghost complete its 14-day surface operations on the Moon by May 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from Firefly Aerospace or NASA
Story
SpaceX Launches Blue Ghost and Resilience Lunar Landers to Moon from Pad 39A
Jan 15, 2025, 06:34 AM
SpaceX has successfully launched two lunar landers, Blue Ghost by Firefly Aerospace and Resilience by Japanese company ispace, aboard a Falcon 9 rocket from Kennedy Space Center's historic pad 39A at 1:11 a.m. ET on January 15, 2025. The Blue Ghost mission will spend approximately 45 days traveling to the Moon and conduct 14 days of surface operations with 10 NASA instruments. ispace's Resilience lander marks the company's second attempt to achieve a moon landing after a previous failure in April 2023 and is scheduled to attempt a landing in May or June. Resilience carries a rover equipped to gather lunar soil samples and test potential resources for future explorers. Both landers have been successfully deployed and are en route to the Moon, representing a significant step in private lunar exploration and efforts to establish a long-term human presence on the Moon.
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Successful landing but mission incomplete • 25%
Successful landing and mission completion • 25%
Mission aborted before landing • 25%
Unsuccessful landing • 25%
Landing attempt but mission failure • 25%
Successful landing but some payloads non-operational • 25%
Successful landing and all payloads operational • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
All experiments unsuccessful • 25%
All experiments successful • 25%
Majority successful • 25%
Majority unsuccessful • 25%
Successful landing and rover operational • 25%
Successful landing but rover non-operational • 25%
Landing attempt but mission failure • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Mission aborted before landing • 25%
Unsuccessful landing • 25%
Successful landing and mission completion • 25%
Successful landing but mission incomplete • 25%
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