Market
Will Biden announce a decision on federal death row commutations by March 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the White House
Story
Biden Considers Commuting Sentences of 40 Federal Death Row Inmates to Life Without Parole, Amid Trump's Execution Plans
Dec 20, 2024, 11:44 PM
President Joe Biden is considering commuting the sentences of most, if not all, of the 40 men currently on federal death row to life without parole, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal. This consideration comes amid pressure from a broad coalition of religious and civil-rights groups urging Biden to take this step. The decision could potentially frustrate former President Donald Trump's plans to resume federal executions, as he had overseen 13 executions during his final months in office.
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Commute all • 33%
Commute some • 33%
Commute none • 34%
Announces a review process • 25%
Commute some sentences • 25%
Commute no sentences • 25%
Commute all sentences • 25%
All commuted • 25%
None commuted • 25%
Some commuted • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31-40 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased opposition to Biden's decision • 25%
Increased support for death penalty abolition • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change in public opinion • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31-40 • 25%