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Will a similar-sized asteroid to COWEPC5 be detected within 12 hours of impact by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from NASA, ESA, or other recognized astronomical agencies
Story
70 cm Asteroid COWEPC5 Burns Up Over Yakutia After Detection Hours Before
Dec 3, 2024, 09:13 PM
A small asteroid approximately 70 centimeters in diameter, designated as COWEPC5, entered Earth's atmosphere over northern Siberia on December 3, 2024, at approximately 16:15 UTC. Detected only about 12 hours prior by astronomers, the asteroid burned up harmlessly upon entry, creating a bright fireball that lit up the sky over Yakutia for about five seconds. The event occurred between the towns of Olekminsk and Lensk. No damages or injuries were reported, and scientists from the European Space Agency confirmed that the space rock posed no danger due to its small size.
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Similar markets
Larger than 70 cm • 25%
No imminent impactor detected • 25%
Equal to 70 cm • 25%
Smaller than 70 cm • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
71 cm to 100 cm • 25%
Less than 50 cm • 25%
50 cm to 70 cm • 25%
More than 100 cm • 25%
4 • 25%
More than 6 • 25%
6 • 25%
5 • 25%
4 or fewer • 25%
5-7 • 25%
8-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
Olekminsk • 25%
Other • 25%
Between Olekminsk and Lensk • 25%
Lensk • 25%