Market
Will a CDU-SPD minority government be formed in Saxony by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official confirmation from the Saxony state government or major news outlets
Story
CDU and SPD Clear Path for Minority Government in Saxony with 78.1% Support Ahead of Minister-President Election on Wednesday
Dec 16, 2024, 01:59 PM
The path for a minority government formed by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) in Saxony has been cleared following a decisive vote by SPD members. On December 16, 2024, the SPD approved the coalition agreement with the CDU, garnering a majority support of 78.1 percent. This follows a similar vote from the CDU, setting the stage for the election of the Minister-President, which is scheduled for Wednesday. The current Minister-President, Michael Kretschmer, is seeking re-election but requires ten additional votes to secure his position amidst competition from two opposing candidates. The dynamics of the upcoming session may influence the outcome of the election.
View original story
Similar markets
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Free Democratic Party (FDP) • 25%
The Left • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU • 25%
The Greens • 25%
The Left • 25%
No new party • 25%
Informal Support Agreement • 25%
Formal Cooperation Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
SPD-Green coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU-Green coalition • 25%
SPD-CDU/CSU coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
