Market
Who will replace Gary Gensler as SEC Chair by June 30, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•White House•United States•Trump•Strategic Bitcoin Reserve•Bitcoin•American•Gary Gensler•SEC•Republicans•Congress
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pro-Bitcoin Individual • 25%
Traditional Finance Professional • 25%
Political Ally of Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or press releases from the White House or SEC
Story
Donald Trump to Return as President in 18 Days, Plans Bitcoin Reserve, Law and Order, and Far-Right Changes
Jan 2, 2025, 04:13 PM
Donald Trump is set to return to the White House as President of the United States in 18 days, following his victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Trump has indicated plans to implement significant policy changes immediately upon taking office. These include establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, holding all government-seized Bitcoin, and signing an executive order related to Bitcoin. His administration is being described as the first pro-Bitcoin presidency. Additionally, Trump has expressed intentions to focus on lowering taxes, securing the U.S. border, reclaiming American energy dominance, and restoring law and order. Gary Gensler is expected to step down as SEC Chair, with a pro-Bitcoin individual likely to replace him. Republicans in Congress are eager to collaborate with Trump on these initiatives. Trump has also hinted at enacting far-right changes and pursuing retribution against political adversaries.
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Other • 1%
Paul Atkins • 33%
Dan Gallagher • 33%
William McLucas • 33%
Mark Uyeda • 25%
Robert Stebbins • 25%
Dan Gallagher • 25%
Paul Atkins • 25%
Anti-crypto candidate • 25%
Neutral candidate • 25%
Pro-crypto candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Resigns and replaced by Trump appointee • 25%
Does not resign by deadline • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Resigns and replaced by interim chair • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
Brian Quintenz • 25%
Position Eliminated • 25%
No Appointment by Deadline • 25%
Neutral candidate • 25%
No nomination by deadline • 25%
Pro-crypto candidate • 25%
Anti-crypto candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
A current CFTC commissioner • 25%
An external candidate • 25%
Caroline Pham • 25%
No appointment by end of 2025 • 25%
Caroline Pham • 25%
Another current CFTC member • 25%
An external candidate • 25%
